"No one is harder on a talented person than the person themselves" - Linda Wilkinson ; "Trust your guts and don't follow the herd" ; "Validate direction not destination" ;

November 01, 2023

Forecasting Notes

Why MAPE is the Worst Forecast KPI.

MAPE - Mean Absolute Percentage Error. Periods with low demand have more influence on MAPE

Ref - Link

Good One

I am against general metrics but a bucketed one, We had the same during Microsoft days of analysis

  • How many prediction weeks with < 20% Deviations
  • How many prediction weeks with  20%-40% Deviations
  • How many prediction weeks with  > 40% Deviations

Best Practices for Demand Forecasting & Inventory Planning 2023

Forecasting



Best Practices for manufacturing planning and MRP in 2023





  • Product lifetime vs lead time vs Shipment time
  • Product holding cost vs Profitability vs Shelf Life


  • Transport forecasts
  • Storage forecasts
  • Creating mini warehouses

Solve use cases based on current business maturity levels

Keep Exploring!!!

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