"No one is harder on a talented person than the person themselves" - Linda Wilkinson ; "Trust your guts and don't follow the herd" ; "Validate direction not destination" ;

May 31, 2020

Weekend Learning - Crime detection papers

We know Platir Tech has a crime prediction offering. Some research paper detail out different techniques on crime prediction/detection
Examining Deep Learning Architectures for Crime Classification and Prediction
Key Notes
Inputs for predictive policing
  • Who will commit a crime
  • Who will be offended
  • What type of crime
  • In which location
  • At what time a new crime will take place
ML Areas
  • Predict hotspots
  • Predict the possibility for a crime to occur
  • Predicting hourly fluctuations in crime rates
Data Patterns
  • Spatial and then the temporal patterns
  • Temporal and then the spatial patterns
  • Temporal and spatial patterns in parallel
Thematic Mapping
  • Aggregated to geographic unit areas
  • Quick determination of areas with a high incidence of crime
  • Visualize geographical extent and duration of crime clusters
ML Features
  • 11 crime categories are used as input
  • Socioeconomic status and activities
  • Data are time-series of data points
  • 10 crime types (i.e. “Homicide”, “Robbery”, “Arson”, “Vice”, “Motor Vehicle”, “Narcotics”, “Assault”, “Theft”, “Burglary”,“Other”) 
  • Sparsest crime types there is a class imbalance problem
  • Data augmentation can come from flipping and rotating the data on their spatial dimension
Paper #2 - Deep Learning for Real-Time Crime Forecasting and Its Ternarization
Key Notes
  • Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model to crime modeling
  • Convolutional neural network (CNN) learn the features for crime forecasting with inputs of historical data, weather, geographical information
ML Features
  • Each crime is associated with two times: start and end times
  • Crimes in the restricted region
  • Temperature, wind speed, and special events, including fog, rain, and thunderstorms
  • Trend, period, nearby impact, predict
Data includes 
  • Personal contact details
  • Gender
  • Race
  • Occupation
  • Physical and mental health conditions
  • Past criminal offenses
  • Religious and political affiliation
Happy Learning!!!

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